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1999 1st Rd. QB Comparisons: Should Johnny Manziel Sit This Year?

By Jared Mueller

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Dec 15, 2013; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Minnesota Vikings honor former quarterback Daunte Culpepper before the game with the Philadelphia Eagles at Mall of America Field at H.H.H. Metrodome. The Vikings win 48-30. Mandatory Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

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    • Data Summary

    The 1999 NFL Draft had 5 QBs selected in the first round. Of those 5 QBs, 4 started games their rookie season. On average those quarterbacks who started games their rookie season graded out with a 1.5 GPA for their rookie season, 1.75 for their first 3 seasons and a 1.25 GPA for their career. Culpepper, the only 1 of the 5 that didn’t start a game as a rookie, had a 3.0 GPA for his first 3 and career grades.

    Analysis

    The 1999 Draft did not produce high level QBs outside of McNabb and Culpepper. Even with McNabb’s Franchise level play it couldn’t overcome the failures of Akili Smith, Cade McNown and Tim Couch. Each draft, with its limited data, with provide skewed information. The end result will provide us with a good amount of information whether Johnny Manziel should sit during his rookie season based on the history of 1st Round QBs. If only looking at the 1999 draft the answer would be obvious. Tomorrow we hit on the 2000 NFL Draft which only has 1 QB in the first round, again skewing the individual data.

    Do you think this exercise will provide you with information to back your thoughts about Manziel? Any grades you think should be changed for these 5 QBs?

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