NFL Draft: The Myth of the Sure Thing QB

Dec 21, 2014; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) throws a pass against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second half at Heinz Field. The Steelers won the game, 20-12. Mandatory Credit: Jason Bridge-USA TODAY Sports

Alex Smith

Alex Smith is who is considered Mariota’s floor. For the Browns, who haven’t had a Smith type player, that may not be a bad thing but you don’t trade a ton for Alex Smith. Some fail to remember that Smith was the 1st overall pick and drafted instead of Rodgers. Have to wonder if they traded places on draft night how things would have been different.

As it is Smith was not considered a sure thing coming out of Utah. There were concerns about him coming out of the gimmick system in college and his ability to transition to the next level. Here is an interesting quote, from a 49ers site, attributed to Mel Kiper:

"Quotable: “While (Smith is) not the next John Elway or Troy Aikman, lacking that type of arm strength, the overall package of skills he brings to the table definitely makes him deserving of a lofty NFL grade.” — Mel Kiper Jr., draft expert."

At the time that Smith was the 1st overall pick, no one assumed he was a sure thing. He has had a decent career but his lack of arm strength has really limited him to Check Down Charlie status.

Next: The Other Manning