NFL Draft: The Myth of the Sure Thing QB

Jan 25, 2015; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Team Carter quarterback Andrew Luck of the Indianapolis Colts (12) warms up before the 2015 Pro Bowl at University of Phoenix Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Andrew Luck

Andrew Luck was considered a sure thing. Period. There is almost nothing that pops out about Luck from any profiles that we read. This is how the NFL’s own site described his weaknesses:

"WEAKNESSES One would be hard-pressed to find negatives to Luck’s game. There are no glaring weaknesses in his play, and while some could argue he isn’t the athlete that RG3 is, that is simply not his game. He displays the athleticism necessary to excel as a pocket passer. There are times when Luck second-guessed passes and simply didn’t see a breaking corner coming from another zone, such as the play that almost got Stanford beat towards the end of a high-energy USC game, but for the most part Luck works to identify and improve on his weaknesses."

Luck was so good that ESPN devoted a great slideshow comparing him to a 3 other “can’t miss” QBs in a number of categories. He comes out looking very good. No wonder Mike Holmgren reportedly tried to give up the Browns entire draft to go up and get him.

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