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Cleveland Browns: What could Baker Mayfield’s stat line look like at the end of the season?

By Mitch Zoloty

Nov 29, 2020; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) rolls out as running back Nick Chubb (24) protects during the second half against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 29, 2020; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) rolls out as running back Nick Chubb (24) protects during the second half against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports /
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Cleveland Browns, Baker Mayfield
Cleveland Browns. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports /

Passing Yards

"2018: 3,725 passing yards (266.1 YPG) 2019: 3,827 passing yards (239.2 YPG) 2020: 2,108 passing yards (191.6 YPG) 2020 (projected): 3,066 passing yards (191.6 YPG)"

This is the one statistical category that Baker Mayfield has really taken a step back in. His passing yards and passing yards per game has been on a steep decline since his rookie season in 2018. This is a good and a bad thing. It’s good because this means that Mayfield has had a smaller workload, so less pressure to play hero ball and he can surprise defenses with some looks when he throws.

The bad aspect of lower yards per game is that the Browns aren’t getting a good look at if he is a guy that they can rely on to carry the offense. He isn’t being asked to do much, so he isn’t getting the opportunity to show that he can be an elite quarterback and carry a team while throwing the ball 40 times a game.

Baker has had 3 games this season where he has thrown more than 30 passes, those being the first Ravens game, the game against the Cowboys, and the game against the Colts. The Browns are 2-1 in those games. Mayfield’s only averaging 200.3 passing yards per game in those games too, which is not ideal when you’re trying to throw the ball 30 times a game.

This smaller workload ties in with our next statistical category, which is completion percentage. For comparison, Ryan Tannehill of the Tennessee Titans, who run a similar offense to the Cleveland Browns, has thrown 30+ passes in six games this year. The Titans are 4-2 in those games and relied on Tannehill in all of them to try to pull out a win. Next season, Mayfield will likely be looked upon to play a similar role as Ryan Tannehill plays in the Titans’ offense, where he will be relied upon more to let it loose and have more games with larger workloads.

Our next statistical category, completion percentage, will make you a little more optimistic about his ability to take on a larger role in the offense.

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