Cleveland Browns: What could Baker Mayfield’s stat line look like at the end of the season?

Nov 29, 2020; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) rolls out as running back Nick Chubb (24) protects during the second half against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 29, 2020; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) rolls out as running back Nick Chubb (24) protects during the second half against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports /
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Cleveland Browns, Baker Mayfield
Cleveland Browns. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports /

Interceptions

"2018: 14 interceptions (2.9% INT%) 2019: 21 interceptions (3.9% INT%) 2020: 7 interceptions (2.4% INT%) 2020 (projected): 10 interceptions (2.4% INT%)"

By far the biggest improvement that Mayfield has made from year two to year three is how often he turns over the football. Stefanski has been a miracle worker with Baker Mayfield in this regard. Interceptions were a problem with Baker his rookie season and were a problem for the Cleveland Browns last season. Stefanski has fixed this, and will likely cut Bakers’ interceptions in half in his first year as head coach.

Part of this is the smaller workload, but as you can tell with the interception percentages, Baker is not turning the ball over nearly as often as years before. This is due to a mixture of reasons, mostly because Mayfield has improved his decision making and when he is inaccurate the ball is going high instead of low, which is less likely to be intercepted on deep passes.

Mayfield’s decrease in interceptions has been a major part of why the franchise has been doing as well as they have this season. He has six games this season with zero interceptions, which is a great step forward in his development. There’s also this little nugget of positive information in this category, provided to you by our own Sam Penix.

The bad news is that three of his interceptions so far this season have come against the Ravens and the Steelers, both of which the Browns still have to play again this season. This means that he likely won’t finish under 10 interceptions this season, and will probably end up with more than 10.